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Conclusion
The fact that the downward propagation is so well captured by even the simplest models allows us to believe that such models will be able to provide an answer to the question of how strongly changes in the stratosphere will be felt near the surface. Changes in the stratosphere take place due to the depletion of stratospheric ozone and the increasing levels of carbon-dioxide. However, also changes in the stratopsheric structure related to the 11-year solar cycle are often reported. On shorter timescales understanding of the downward propagation may improve weather and seasonal forecasts.