C-SPARC
Canadian Stratospheric Processes and their Role in Climate
One-week Summer School on Dynamics, long-term memory, and trends in the climate system
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| The Banff Centre's TransCanada PipeLines
Pavilion, Cascade Mountain in background. Photo Don Lee, courtesy The Banff Centre. |
The detection and attribution of forced changes ( trends ) in the climate system, whether of natural or anthropogenic origin, is a signal-to-noise problem. The challenge comes in defining the signal and in characterizing the noise. In particular, there are various sources of long-term memory which intorduce serial correlations in the noise, and can lead to false apparent trends if they are not accounted for. The issue is particulatrly evident in stratospheric climate and ozone, where the observed record is relatively short (compared with the troposphere) and where scientists have been fooled in the past by apparent trends that subsequently reverse. The purpose of this summer sc hool is to introduce students and post-doctoral researchers in atmospheric science to the statistical tools needed to address these problems, in a language accessible to them. Stratopheric dynamics and ozone will be especially featured in order to illustrate the issues, but the summer school will be of interest to a more general audience.
Confirmed lecturers: David Karoly (University of Melbourne, Australia), Slava Kharin (Canadian Climate Centre, Canada), Paul Kushner (University of Toronto, Canada), D. B. Stephenson (UK MetOffice, UK), John Scinocca (Canadian Climate Centre, Canada), Betsy Weatherhead (NOAA, USA)
Dates: 18-23 May, 2007 (mid-day to mid-day)
Location: The Banff Centre, Banff, Canada
Registration is C$500, which includes shared accommodation and meals
(single accommodation may be possible for a surcharge), but space is limited.
Preference will be given to graduate students at Canadian universities.
Please send applications by 31st January 2007 to
Dr. Sorin Codoban
Department of Physics,
University of Toronto,
60 St. George Street,
Toronto, ON,
M5S 1A7.
Email: csparc@atmosp.physics.utoronto.ca
Fax: (416) 978-????
The Summer School is organized by the C-SPARC Project, and supported by funding from CFCAS.